Joint Air and Space Power Conference 2026

Panel 2

Blue in the Grey Zone: Air Power in Hybrid Conflict

The second panel will examine how air power contributes to deterrence and defence below the threshold of armed conflict—where hybrid tactics exploit ambiguity, deny attribution, and seek to fracture Alliance cohesion without triggering a conventional response. In this “grey zone,” air power and air domain operations aren’t limited to a crisis response option but provide a continuous instrument in strategic competition. The discussion will explore how air power, enabled by multi-domain integration, can sustain persistent presence and situational awareness, enable rapid attribution and exposure of malign activity, and offer calibrated options for signalling and response that support political coherence and escalation management.

The panel will also address the practical constraints that shape air power effectiveness in hybrid competition. Divergent national authorities and rules of engagement, differing interpretations of doctrine and TTPs, and reliance on enabling assets that may sit outside a military commander’s direct control—including commercial space and civilian cyber capabilities—can all complicate timely action. Panellists will assess what posture, platforms, munitions, training, and command-and-control adaptations are required to keep decision advantage and operational credibility in a domain defined by persistence, speed, and narrative. Above all, the discussion will focus on how NATO can employ air power in ways that constrain hybrid actors and actions, reinforce Alliance unity, and protect the integrity of the Euro-Atlantic security space.

Related Read Ahead Essays

‘The Next Ten Years’ Thought Experiment

NATO Allies represent 50% of the world’s economic power. And 50% of the world’s military might. Throughout its 75 years, NATO has always adapted to the changing security climate. It takes leadership to explain the tough choices. Admiral Rob Bauer, Chair of the NATO Military Committee, at the Berlin Security Conference, 20 November 2024 NATO stands at a strategic inflection point, and the Alliance’s ability to maintain strategic deterrence and credible warfighting capabilities hinges on its capacity to anticipate, adapt,...

The Impact of Law on NATO’s Space Power at the Speed of Relevance

The Space security landscape has become increasingly complex and critical to operational success. Allied leaders have recognized Space as a highly dynamic and strategically relevant environment – critical to the Alliance’s core tasks of collective defence, crisis management, and cooperative security. In 2018 this led to NATO leaders agreeing to the development of an overarching Space policy. In 2019, as part of this development, NATO officially recognized Space as an operational domain on par with and linked to the Land,...

Looking for a Few Good Operators

In 2018, NATO called for the development of an overarching policy for Space, which was approved in June of 2019. Later that year the Alliance formally recognized Space as an operational domain alongside Air, Land, Sea, and Cyberspace. There is an opportunity to build Space forces that accelerate the implementation of WPS to create a more secure and peaceful world. This paper discusses ways in which Space doctrine can encompass WPS tenets and how recruitment and retention policies can help...

Avoiding Cyber Forever Wars

Cyberspace is poised to be the next ‘forever war’ battleground unless US and NATO allies change course from the current balkanized, defence-prioritized posture and enact a unilateral deterrence strategy. Cyberspace as an operational domain is rife with peculiarities that create an advantageous battlespace for adversaries. The lack of traditional visibility, ease, and efficacy in executing Offensive Cyber Operations (OCO) are favourable, especially for adversaries who prioritize stealth, persistent degradation of allied institutions in their national interest objective and wish to...

Outer Space, a Challenging Domain for Ambitious Defence Strategy

Space is vital for state security and scientific achievement. Moreover, Space-based capabilities are an integral part of our modern life and they are an essential component of nations’ (or national) military power because they provide efficiency and effectiveness to military operations. However, a new schema looms with increasing rivalries between Space powers; militaries use more satellites to enhance their forces and one can observe an acceleration of the development of counter-space capabilities. Outer Space represents a strategic and operational area,...

Increasing NATO’s Resilience

While not quite a new phenomenon, hybrid warfare has been discussed in international forums since the Russian annexation of Crimea in 2014. According to the Commander of US Cyber Command and Director of the NSA, General Paul Nakasone, the low cost of foreign influence operations, facilitated by easy and high exposure to social media users make them attractive to adversaries to spread discord while operating below the threshold of armed conflict. Given that hybrid threats and disinformation campaigns have become...

Contact Us

Contact Information

Joint Air Power Competence Centre
Römerstrasse 140
47546 Kalkar
Germany

+49 (0) 2824 90 2201

Request for Support

Please leave us a message

Contact Form